/Ramaphosa and Mkhwebane: A debilitating crisis of credibility

Ramaphosa and Mkhwebane: A debilitating crisis of credibility

2019-07-22 05:00

The Public Protector’s report a crisis for the new president. And, it is one that requires not just a legal judgment in his favour, but a holistic change-of-being between himself and his party, writes Daniel Silke.

It would be an understatement to say that Cyril
Ramaphosa is now an embattled president. 

Following the dramatic events of last week
– at the hands of Jacob Zuma on Monday and Busisiwe Mkhwebane on Friday – the
country now faces a crisis of credibility on three fronts with overlapping
agendas complicating the resolution prospects.

Zuma’s resurrection of a litany of
conspiracy accusations and threats to de-frock other “comrades”
labelled as spies, will have left an uneasy feeling within the ANC.

Given the history and sensitivities of the
liberation era – and notwithstanding the severely damaged credibility of former
president Zuma himself, claims that the governing party still houses a secret
coterie of former (and perhaps current) spies, can create a McCarthy-esque
atmosphere in Luthuli House and beyond.

When a political party fears its most
senior activists are either not genuine or have substantial conspiratorial
motives, it gnaws away at co-operation and cohesiveness and ultimately disables
coherent policy formulation and execution.

And, whether the innuendos from Zuma
were believed or not, the sense of unease in the corridors of ANC power across
the country will have debilitating ripple effects in undermining unity so
critical at this juncture.

Within the ANC therefore, a first crisis of
credibility is emerging: just who are the believable or trustworthy
personalities to take the country forward? For Zuma, his assertions were enough
to add fuel to the already factionalised polarisation that largely inhibits
good governance from the governing party.

That Zuma was attempting to deflect and
divert from his own role in state capture was patently clear. Still, injecting
doubts into the ANC over legitimacy and reliability also adds pressure to the
role of Ramaphosa and his own views and knowledge of this matter –
not to mention his leadership of a fractious, factionalised and fearful
political party in the danger of descending into dangerous back-stabbing to
defend positions, power and privilege.

Against the backdrop of Zuma at the Zondo commission
came the bombshell report of the Public Protector, Busisiwe Mkhwebane.

Mkhwebane was already under substantial
pressure regarding her own suitability for office following a number of High
Court judgments against her – with potentially more to come.

With swirling allegations that she herself
is unfit for office or is aligned to a faction seeking to diminish the power of
President Ramaphosa, her own credibility was being questioned.

Within that context, she too chose to
interpret her evidence and research in a manner that dealt a major blow to Ramaphosa.
Without pontification on the merit or demerit of her findings – which include
suggestions of money laundering – she has sewn enough seeds of doubt about the president
himself.

Therefore, just as Zuma succeeded in
deflecting and hurling counter accusations to take all our minds off the Guptas,
so Mkhwebane – rightly or wrongly – has done the same. She has honed in on
issues that not only question the integrity and authority of the sitting president,
but also suggest an equivalency of malfeasance between Ramaphosa and Zuma.

The innuendos of the huge financial
contributions to the CR17 campaign amidst an air of malfeasance and impropriety
draw a type of “moral” or “immoral” equivalence between Zuma’s
own misdeed and now those potentially ascribed to Ramaphosa.

Within one week, therefore, the pendulum of
accusations has swung away from the former president to the current.
Politically, therefore, the credibility of the office of the president is
therefore now also in question.

No country can afford a crisis of
credibility in its critical institutions of governance. It’s distracting and
undermines efforts at forging unity of purpose and implementing corrective
measures to reboot South Africa.

Above all else, the diminishing of the
legitimacy of the Presidency and Public Protector largely disengage the process
of holding those liable for state capture to account. After all, suggesting
that huge amounts of donors’ money went into the CR17 campaign is creating a
second tranche of state capture well beyond the Guptas.

To this end, Ramaphosa has now thrown down
the gauntlet to Mkhwebane by not only describing the report as “fundamentally
and irretrievably flawed” but also taking it on judicial review.

The effects of his Sunday night statement
largely reflecting the earnestness and urgency of the matter but similarly – on
national television – putting his case to the public and his own party. As president,
Ramaphosa’s credibility is on the line in a dramatic and damaging atmosphere.
And with Zuma on the sidelines and other political vultures within the ANC
waiting to take a bite out of the president, it’s an unnerving period yet again
for South Africa.

With the courts set to decide, this is a
high-stakes game that can result in either the end of the Ramaphosa Presidency
barely before it has begun or a process leading to the removal of the Public
Protector herself. It’s hard to see either party recover from findings against
them.

That the position is clarified via the
courts timeously goes without saying. But it is clear too that those seeking to
undermine Ramaphosa will stop at nothing to create dissent and unease.

Make no mistake, this is a crisis for the
new president. And, it is one that requires not just a legal judgment in his
favour, but a holistic change-of-being between himself and his entire political
party. There are multiple fronts of attack within the ANC presently. Some
collide deliberately, while some take advantage of unforeseen and unpredictable
stress.

As has been said before, a new president
keen to root out the rot of the past faces a highly dangerous period in
confronting the vested interests of malfeasance. But, with his enemies
circling, he has to be beyond reproach himself. Any misstep, whether
deliberately, or unintentionally or even as part of a political stitch-up
creates opportunities for your adversaries.

Fasten your seatbelts as we ride this one
out.

– Daniel Silke is director of the Political Futures Consultancy and is a noted keynote speaker and commentator. Views expressed are his own. Follow him on Twitter at @DanielSilke or visit his website

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